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Kazakhstan Oil Output Falls 20% as CPC Disruptions Persist

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Kazakhstan Oil Output Falls 20% as CPC Disruptions Persist

Kazakhstan's oil production decreased by 19.8% in Q1 2026, totaling 19.7 million tons. Exports also fell by 21.5% amid disruptions at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium. The decline occurs even as Tengiz operations face challenges.

Production and Export Figures

Kazakhstan produced 19.7 million tons of oil in the first quarter of 2026, a 19.8% year-on-year decrease, according to Energy Minister Yerlan Akkenzhenov. The country's oil exports also dropped to 15.3 million tons, marking a 21.5% decline. The Caspian Pipeline Consortium, responsible for 80% of Kazakhstan's oil exports, has faced repeated disruptions. Ukrainian drone attacks on CPC marine terminals have led to loading stoppages, affecting export volumes.

Impact on Tengiz Oil Field

Operations at Tengiz, Kazakhstan's largest oil field, were disrupted due to an accident in January. Tengizchevroil, a joint venture led by Chevron, operates the field under a long-term agreement. The field is a key asset for Kazakhstan, contributing significantly to national oil revenues. The ministry has revised its annual production forecast to 94 million tons, down from an earlier estimate of 100.5 million tons.

What's Next

The Kazakh government is assessing the long-term impact of CPC disruptions on its oil sector. It remains unclear how quickly operations at Tengiz can return to full capacity.

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Kazakhstan Oil Output Falls 20% as CPC Disruptions Persist