Danish intelligence warns Russia may strike NATO country within months

September 25, 2026 at 09:13 AM2 min

This digest was compiled by AI from multiple sources — links to the originals are below.

Denmark's Defence Intelligence Service warned Thursday that Russia could launch long-range strikes on NATO infrastructure supporting Ukraine. The report also flagged a low but rising risk of a limited ground operation against a neighboring country. The warning came hours after a suspected sabotage fire at a Starlink station in Poland.

Key Facts

Denmark's Defence Intelligence Service warned on Thursday that Russia could launch long-range strikes on NATO infrastructure supporting Ukraine.
The report assessed a low but rising risk of a limited ground operation against a neighboring country using small units without insignia.
Polish Deputy Prime Minister Krzysztof Gawkowski said a fire at a Starlink station in Mazovia was deliberately set to disable the facility.
Germany earlier this month openly accused Russia over a drone attack attempt on Leipzig/Halle airport.
Danish officials expect Russia to intensify hybrid attacks on European countries in the coming months with heavier consequences.

Intelligence Assessment

Denmark's Defence Intelligence Service released the assessment on Thursday. The report warned that Russia could launch long-range strikes on NATO infrastructure supporting Ukraine. It also flagged a low but rising risk of a limited ground operation against a neighboring country using small units without insignia. Danish officials expect Russia to intensify hybrid attacks on European countries in the coming months. These attacks could include destructive cyber operations and sabotage with high risk of casualties.

Starlink Station Fire

The report was published hours after a fire at a Starlink satellite station in central Poland. Polish Deputy Prime Minister Krzysztof Gawkowski said the overnight fire in Mazovia was deliberately set to disable the station. Gawkowski said the incident disrupted internet access for several institutions, including the Ukrainian military. He noted that many signs point to Russia's new attack doctrine, though no perpetrator has been identified. Starlink has become a critical part of Ukraine's military communications.

European Sabotage Pattern

The incident occurred amid a rise in suspected Russian sabotage operations against infrastructure supporting Ukraine across Europe. Earlier this month, Germany openly accused Russia over a drone attack attempt on Leipzig/Halle airport. Other incidents under investigation include fires at drone factories and sabotage targeting railway infrastructure. Russia denies involvement in such attacks. Several European intelligence chiefs have warned in recent weeks that Russia may test NATO countries' resolve to support Ukraine.