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Yale Budget Lab projects US tariffs to cost households over $1,000 a year

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Yale Budget Lab projects US tariffs to cost households over $1,000 a year

US tariffs will cost the typical American household more than $1,000 per year, the non-partisan Yale Budget Lab estimated on Tuesday. The forecast comes as new 50% levies on $20 billion of Canadian goods took effect Saturday and Canada announced matching tariffs to start Sept. 8. The trade conflict adds to price pressures from the Iran war, with July inflation at 3.4%.

Key Facts

  • The Yale Budget Lab estimates US tariffs will cost the typical American household more than $1,000 per year.
  • New 50% US tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian goods took effect on Saturday, adding about $30 per household per year.
  • Canada announced retaliatory levies to take effect Sept. 8, matching the value of goods targeted by US tariffs.
  • US inflation was 3.4% in July, more than a percentage point above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
  • The national average US gasoline price was $4.09 per gallon on Tuesday, up 37% since the Iran war began in late February.

Tariff Cost Estimate

The Yale Budget Lab released an estimate on Tuesday showing US tariffs will cost the typical American household more than $1,000 per year. The new tariffs on Canadian goods accounted for about $30 extra per household per year, the lab said. A round of 50% US tariffs on dozens of Canadian goods worth $20 billion took effect on Saturday. A measure unveiled on Monday will double levies on Canadian cars and auto parts in January.

US-Canada Trade Dispute

Canada on Tuesday announced levies of its own, to take effect on Sept. 8, that would match the value of goods targeted by US tariffs. President Donald Trump sharply criticized Canada for trade policies he considers unfair toward US products. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said talks broke down after American negotiators made requests unfavorable to Canada. Carney said at a Saturday press conference that the US 'asked too much and offered too little.'

Inflation and Fuel Prices

Prices rose 3.4% in July compared to a year earlier, more than a percentage point above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Iran war drove up gasoline prices and catapulted inflation to a three-year high in May. The national average price of a gallon of gas registered at $4.09 on Tuesday, AAA data showed. That marks a 37% rise since the outbreak of war in late February.

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Yale Budget Lab projects US tariffs to cost households over $1,000 a year