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Israel's Syria strike signals regional reordering beyond Turkiye-Israel ties

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Israel's Syria strike signals regional reordering beyond Turkiye-Israel ties

Israeli fighter jets attacked Abu al-Duhur airbase in northwestern Syria on Tuesday, drawing condemnations from the US, UK, UN and regional countries. The Israeli government claimed intelligence of Turkish military movement to the site, but US intelligence found no basis for the claim. The incident signals a regional reordering in which Israel is no longer at the centre.

Key Facts

  • Israeli fighter jets attacked Abu al-Duhur airbase in northwestern Syria on Tuesday.
  • US Ambassador to Turkiye Tom Barrack said the US received the Israeli intelligence six days before the attack.
  • US intelligence conducted its own due diligence and found no basis for the Israeli claim.
  • Israel did not warn Turkiye about the attack, despite a deconfliction mechanism between the two countries.
  • Turkiye views Israeli attempts to undermine the Syrian transition as a direct national security threat.

The Attack

On Tuesday, Israeli fighter jets attacked Abu al-Duhur airbase in northwestern Syria. The Israeli government claimed it had intelligence of Turkish military movement to the site. US Ambassador to Turkiye Tom Barrack said the US received this intelligence from the Israelis six days before the attack. US intelligence conducted its own due diligence and found no basis for the claim.

Turkish Response

Ankara refrained from escalating and instead provided an off-ramp out of the crisis. Turkiye framed the issue not in bilateral terms but as one between Israel and the US, and between Israel and the regional and international consensus. Israel did not warn Turkiye about the attack, which could have triggered a military response. US envoy Barrack called for a deconfliction mechanism, but such an initiative can be effective only if the sides involved want it to be.

Regional Reordering

The incident signals a regional reordering in which Israel is no longer at the centre. Turkiye increasingly sees Israel as a national security challenge, with Israeli regional revisionism threatening its interests. For a long time, the core of Turkiye's discontent with Israel was the Palestinian issue, humanitarian and identity-based in nature. Today, Ankara views Israeli attempts to undermine the Syrian transition as having direct repercussions for its national security.

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Israel's Syria strike signals regional reordering beyond Turkiye-Israel ties