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Trump opts for economic pressure over military strikes on Iran as blockade grips economy

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Trump opts for economic pressure over military strikes on Iran as blockade grips economy

President Donald Trump on Sunday signaled he will maintain economic pressure on Iran rather than launch renewed military strikes, betting the U.S. naval blockade can cripple Tehran’s economy more effectively than bombs. In an Axios interview, he cited Iran’s “huge inflation” and its inability to pay troops, describing the economy as in “very bad shape.” Iran’s Supreme National Security Council on Saturday demanded the U.S. lift the blockade, end sanctions, and withdraw militarily as preconditions for talks.

Economic Pressure and the Blockade

Trump told Axios that Iran’s economy is in 'very bad shape,' plagued by huge inflation and unpaid troops, and argued the naval blockade has worsened the crisis. Regime moderates fear the blockade could push the economy past a breaking point, the Wall Street Journal reported, while Iran’s deputy foreign minister admitted the country desperately needs sanctions relief. Earlier warnings from President Masoud Pezeshkian and the central bank chief to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei had described the initial blockade as crippling.

Iran’s Preconditions

On Saturday, Iran’s Supreme National Security Council demanded the U.S. lift the blockade, end sanctions, withdraw all forces from the region, pay war reparations, unfreeze assets, halt attacks on proxies, and cease threats. The demands, issued as Iran and Oman negotiate management of Strait of Hormuz traffic, dampened hopes for a quick reopening. An agreement between Iran and Oman would not automatically reopen the waterway without satisfaction of Iran’s conditions.

U.S. Military Constraints

Trump’s shift from major combat operations follows narrowing military options. Despite 40 days of bombardment and two weeks of strikes last month, the U.S. has been unable to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Munitions stockpiles, including interceptor missiles, are running low, and the Pentagon’s top officer is reportedly seeking an off-ramp. An Axios source said the absence of war may force Iran to confront its economic crisis without the distraction of fighting.

What's Next

Trump told Axios he remains optimistic a deal will emerge, comparing negotiations to a chess game, but offered no timeline. It remains unclear whether Iran’s maximalist demands leave room for compromise, or whether the U.S. military’s depleted stocks can sustain a prolonged standoff.

3 sources

Trump opts for economic pressure over military strikes on Iran as blockade grips economy