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Saudi Oil Detour Adds $5 a Barrel but Secures Chokepoint Hedge

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Saudi Oil Detour Adds $5 a Barrel but Secures Chokepoint Hedge

Saudi Arabia is routing crude to Asia via Egypt’s SUMED pipeline and around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope, adding roughly $5 per barrel to shipping costs. The detour allows the kingdom to bypass both the Strait of Hormuz and the Houthi-threatened Bab el-Mandeb, though it nearly triples voyage time from about 19 days to 48 days. Aramco is considering a separate pricing mechanism for oil loaded at Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Sidi Kerir to reflect the additional expenses.

The Red Sea Pipeline Detour

Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline carries crude from eastern fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, bypassing Hormuz. From Yanbu, tankers sail north through the Red Sea to Egypt’s Ain Sokhna terminal, where oil enters the SUMED pipeline. It crosses Egypt to Sidi Kerir on the Mediterranean, and from there vessels head west through Gibraltar, around Africa, and across the Indian Ocean to Asia. The journey extends delivery times from about 19 to 48 days, according to Reuters calculations.

Cost Surge

The detour adds roughly $5 per barrel, or nearly $10 million for a two-million-barrel cargo, OilPrice reports. Fuel costs for a tanker rise from $1.26 million to $2.87 million, with additional Suez Canal fees around $1 million. To accommodate the extra expenses, Aramco is considering a separate pricing formula for crude loaded at Sidi Kerir, diverging from its standard Asian official selling price.

Strategic Calculus

The $5 premium is not merely a logistical burden but the price of maintaining supply flexibility when two key chokepoints are unreliable. Aramco ramped up the East-West Pipeline to its 7-million-barrel-per-day capacity in the first quarter of 2026, with about 5 million bpd available for export. Without the Egypt route, Asian-bound crude would face repeated Houthi threats in Bab el-Mandeb. The alternative, though costly, ensures shipments continue even if Hormuz or the southern Red Sea become impassable.

What's Next

Aramco has yet to announce a timeline for the new pricing mechanism. It remains unclear how long the kingdom can sustain the expensive detour if diplomatic efforts calm regional tensions or if cheaper routes reopen.

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Saudi Oil Detour Adds $5 a Barrel but Secures Chokepoint Hedge