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BOJ minutes show policymakers ready to raise rates in September

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BOJ minutes show policymakers ready to raise rates in September

The Bank of Japan released minutes of its June meeting on Wednesday, revealing that board members are increasingly concerned about inflation and may raise interest rates at the next policy meeting in September. Asian stocks advanced, led by technology shares, while crude oil prices fell, according to a separate Reuters report. The hawkish signals come even as Middle East tensions keep energy costs elevated.

The Minutes

The June meeting minutes showed policymakers at the Bank of Japan increasingly see upside inflation risks, with some warning that consumer inflation could accelerate markedly in the second half of the current fiscal year. The board raised the policy rate to 1% in June—the highest level in 31 years—after citing a weak yen, a tight labor market, and higher energy costs from Middle East conflicts. One member noted that even if hostilities end and crude oil prices decline, elevated shipping and storage costs from alternative supply routes would sustain inflationary pressure.

Market Reaction

Asian equities rose on Wednesday, with technology stocks leading gains, while crude oil prices slid, according to Reuters. Investors assessed the BOJ's hawkish tilt and its implications for global liquidity. The minutes reinforced expectations that the central bank will continue to normalize policy after years of ultra-loose monetary conditions.

September Meeting

Two board members argued for faster rate hikes to reach the neutral rate sooner, the minutes revealed. The majority emphasized that companies are becoming more willing to raise prices, with oil costs passing quickly from producers to consumers. After keeping rates steady in July, the BOJ now faces intensifying market speculation about a move at its September gathering.

What's Next

The BOJ's next policy meeting is scheduled for September. It remains unclear whether the board will opt for a hike then or wait for further data, given the uncertain global outlook and persistent Middle East tensions.

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BOJ minutes show policymakers ready to raise rates in September