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US-Saudi nuclear deal risks regional arms race, analysts warn

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US-Saudi nuclear deal risks regional arms race, analysts warn

The United States signed a 30-year agreement with Saudi Arabia to help build a civilian nuclear program, opening the door for American companies to construct nuclear infrastructure in the kingdom. The deal may grant Riyadh the right to enrich uranium, a step Washington has traditionally avoided in the Middle East. Analysts warn the move could trigger a nuclear arms race involving Turkey, Egypt, and the UAE.

The Deal Details

The 30-year agreement, signed by U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright, allows American firms to build nuclear infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. According to The Wall Street Journal, the deal may permit Riyadh to enrich uranium, a concession Washington has long denied other Middle Eastern states. Wright stated the accord ensures 'the highest safety standards' and prevents nuclear weapons development.

Regional Proliferation Risks

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has previously said Saudi Arabia would 'immediately' build a nuclear bomb if Iran obtains one. Former State Department adviser Aaron David Miller called the deal an 'own goal' that violates nonproliferation policy. Henry Sokolski of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center warned the move could spark a regional arms race, with Turkey, Egypt, and the UAE potentially seeking similar capabilities.

Geopolitical Competition

A key driver of the U.S. decision was competition with Russia and China, who were also negotiating nuclear plant construction with Riyadh. Washington moved to preempt its rivals from gaining influence in the region. The agreement now requires approval from the U.S. Congress, where it faces significant opposition from lawmakers concerned about destabilizing the Middle East.

What's Next

The 30-year agreement must now be approved by the U.S. Congress, where it is expected to face strong resistance. It remains unclear whether lawmakers will block the deal or impose conditions to limit proliferation risks.

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US-Saudi nuclear deal risks regional arms race, analysts warn