European stocks hit three-month low as bond yields surge

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European shares closed at their lowest level in more than three months on Thursday, with the pan-European STOXX 600 falling 1.3% and banks dropping 3.7%. Germany's 10-year bond yield touched 3.6526%, its highest since June 2009, while France's 10-year yield hit its highest since 2002. The selloff came as investors weighed higher-for-longer interest rates and France's belt-tightening budget.
Key Facts
- The pan-European STOXX 600 closed 1.3% lower, its biggest one-day drop in three weeks, touching its lowest level in more than three months.
- European banks registered their sharpest daily fall since March 3, down 3.7%, with HSBC and Barclays dropping 4.1% each and Lloyds losing 4.5%.
- Germany's 10-year government bond yield touched 3.6526% earlier this week, its highest level since June 2009.
- France's 10-year government bond yield jumped to its highest level since 2002 ahead of the government's 2027 budget bill presentation.
- France's CAC 40 fell 1.6%, while the broader tech index gained 0.5%.
Market Selloff
European shares started the final quarter of the year on a downbeat note on Thursday, with heavyweight banks marking sharp declines as global government bond yields hit multi-year highs. The pan-European STOXX 600 closed 1.3% lower, marking its biggest one-day drop in three weeks and touching its lowest level in more than three months. Most European sub-sectors declined, with banks registering their sharpest daily fall since March 3, down 3.7%. UK banks HSBC and Barclays dropped 4.1% each, and Lloyds lost 4.5% as jitters mounted about Britain's finances ahead of this month's budget.
Bond Yield Surge
Global bond yields have surged in recent weeks as investors sold government debt, while soaring energy costs fuelled inflation concerns and the AI boom bolstered the economic outlook, reinforcing bets that interest rates could remain higher for longer. Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the euro area's benchmark, edged back 5.9 basis points after touching 3.6526% earlier this week, its highest level since June 2009. The French 10-year government bond yield jumped to its highest level since 2002 in the build-up to the government's presentation of its 2027 budget bill, which included unpopular belt-tightening measures. In recent trading, yields on French, Italian and Greek bonds were all sharply higher, while yields on German bonds and U.S. Treasurys were lower, indicating a flight to bonds seen as safer. Traders said the moves were being exacerbated by investors, particularly hedge funds, being forced to unwind popular trades that amounted to bullish bets on France's bonds in particular.
Investor Reaction
Tim Armitage, investment strategist at Quilter Cheviot, said the problem markets are diagnosing is that despite rising inflation and bond yields, economic growth remains rather robust in crucial parts of the market. This means investors are expecting further rate hikes and this is negatively impacting both equities and fixed income, Armitage said. The outlook for equities remains closely tied to the path of interest rates, with investors assessing whether higher borrowing costs and elevated energy prices will outweigh signs of resilience in the euro zone economy. Supporting the higher-for-longer rates narrative, data on Wednesday showed German inflation accelerated slightly more than expected in September. Euro zone unemployment stood at 6.4% in August, in line with economists' expectations in a Reuters poll.