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Zelensky-Fedorov Rift Reshapes Ukraine's Wartime Politics

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Zelensky-Fedorov Rift Reshapes Ukraine's Wartime Politics

More than a month after President Volodymyr Zelensky dismissed Mykhailo Fedorov as defense minister, their confrontation has become the central storyline of Ukrainian domestic politics. Fedorov has emerged as Zelensky's first real rival since 2022, calling for wartime elections and drawing street protests that surpass last year's anti-corruption rallies. Zelensky partially conceded by dismissing Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, but refused to reinstate Fedorov.

Key Facts

  • Zelensky dismissed Fedorov as defense minister more than a month ago, and their confrontation has since intensified.
  • Fedorov has entered the top three potential presidential candidates alongside Zelensky and Valerii Zaluzhnyi, with trust ratings reaching 65% in some polls.
  • Street protests following Fedorov's dismissal have exceeded last year's rallies against expanding anti-corruption institutions' powers.
  • Zelensky dismissed Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi in partial concession to protesters, but did not reinstate Fedorov.
  • Parliament held a record number of votes for Yevhen Khmara as defense minister, while the legal ban on wartime elections remains in place.

The Rivalry

Zelensky dismissed Fedorov as defense minister more than a month ago, and their confrontation has only intensified. Fedorov has become Zelensky's first real rival since 2022, calling for elections during the war rather than waiting for hostilities to end. Zelensky partially conceded to protest demands by dismissing Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, an opponent of Fedorov, but showed firmness regarding the former minister himself. Fedorov has entered the top three potential presidential candidates alongside Zelensky and Valerii Zaluzhnyi, with trust ratings reaching 65% in some data.

Political Fallout

Street protests triggered by Fedorov's July dismissal continue to this day and have long surpassed last year's rallies against limiting anti-corruption institutions' powers. Anti-corruption investigations have touched Zelensky's circle: NABU has charged Ira Mudra and other officials, and Zelensky dismissed Mudra, calling wartime elections a 'tsunami' for the state. Parliament held a record number of votes for Yevhen Khmara as defense minister, while the authorities' position remains that wartime elections are legally prohibited. Rumors exist about creating a new party 'Diia' under Fedorov, who could build a team and become an influential figure in a future campaign.

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Zelensky-Fedorov Rift Reshapes Ukraine's Wartime Politics