Exit polls show Adilet party leading Kazakhstan's first Kurultai election
This digest was compiled by AI from multiple sources — links to the originals are below.
Exit polls from Kazakhstan's first Kurultai election on August 23, 2026 show the Adilet party leading with 70.7% to 72.3% of the vote. The Eurasian Integration Institute's poll, commissioned by Khabar Agency, surveyed 30,000 voters at 200 polling stations. Five parties appear to clear the 5% threshold, while the People's Party and Baytaq fall short.
Key Facts
- The Eurasian Integration Institute's exit poll, commissioned by Khabar Agency, surveyed 30,000 voters at 200 polling stations across Kazakhstan's 20 regions.
- The Adilet party leads with 71.8% in the Eurasian Integration Institute poll, while SOCIS-A shows 70.7% and the Public Policy Institute shows 72.3%.
- Five parties clear the 5% threshold: Adilet, Auyl, Respublica, OSDP, and Ak Zhol, according to all three exit polls.
- The People's Party of Kazakhstan received 2.8–3.2% and the Baytaq Green Party 0.9–1.2%, below the threshold.
- Voter turnout reached 74.19% by 20:00, with 9,352,151 ballots cast.
Exit Poll Results
The Eurasian Integration Institute conducted its exit poll on August 23, 2026 at 200 polling stations across 20 regions, surveying 30,000 voters face-to-face after they cast ballots. The poll shows Adilet at 71.8%, Auyl at 6.4%, Respublica at 5.4%, OSDP at 5.2%, and Ak Zhol at 5.1%. The People's Party received 3.0%, Baytaq 1.0%, and 2.1% voted against all. SOCIS-A, commissioned by Zakon.kz, reported Adilet at 70.7%, Auyl at 6.4%, Respublica at 5.5%, Ak Zhol at 5.4%, and OSDP at 5.0%. The Public Policy Institute's exit poll showed Adilet at 72.3%, Auyl at 6.2%, Respublica at 5.2%, Ak Zhol at 5.1%, and OSDP at 5.0%.
Election Context
The Kurultai is a unicameral parliament with 145 deputies elected by party lists for five-year terms. Parties must receive at least 5% of the vote to enter the Kurultai. By 20:00 on August 23, 9,352,151 voters had received ballots, a turnout of 74.19%. The Central Election Commission will announce preliminary and final results.
73 sources
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