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UK services growth hits six-month high, boosting Burnham before budget

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UK services growth hits six-month high, boosting Burnham before budget

Britain's services sector recorded its fastest growth in six months in August, with the S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index rising to 52.8 from 52.1 in July. Consumer confidence hit a two-year high, and retail sales volumes continued an upward trend. The stronger-than-expected data provides an early boost for Prime Minister Andy Burnham and finance minister John Healey ahead of the October budget.

Key Facts

  • The S&P Global UK services PMI rose to 52.8 in August, its highest level in six months and above all forecasts in a Reuters poll.
  • GfK's consumer confidence index climbed to -14 in August from -17 in July, reaching a two-year high.
  • Britain's economy expanded by 0.3% in June and 0.4% in the second quarter, led by the services sector.
  • The Confederation of British Industry's manufacturing order books gauge rose to its highest since November 2024, boosted by the strongest export orders in four years.

Business Sentiment

The S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index for the services sector rose to 52.8 in August from 52.1 in July, exceeding all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists. The Confederation of British Industry's gauge of monthly manufacturing order books climbed to its highest level since November 2024. Export orders reached their strongest level in four years, according to the CBI survey. The Office for National Statistics noted strong investment in tech equipment and growth in industries associated with the AI boom.

Consumer Confidence

Market research firm GfK reported its consumer confidence index rose to -14 in August from -17 in July. GfK's gauge of major purchase sentiment increased to its highest level since December 2021. Surveys from YouGov/Cebr, BRC-Opinium, Barclays and LSEG/Ipsos all showed an improving mood among British households over the last month. Retail sales volumes remained on a clear upward trend, according to the Reuters report.

Economic Growth

Britain's economy expanded by 0.3% in June and 0.4% over the second quarter, led by the services sector. The UK was on track for the fastest growth among the Group of Seven advanced economies in the first half of 2026. Thomas Pugh, chief economist at RSM, said Britain might have to start talking about a reasonable economic performance this year. Economists cautioned that the strong growth may reflect inadequate seasonal adjustment, which could drag on the second half of the year.

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UK services growth hits six-month high, boosting Burnham before budget