Kyrgyzstan projects 4.1 bln kWh winter deficit as Toktogul reservoir level trails 2025
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Kyrgyzstan's Deputy Prime Minister Erlist Akunbekov chaired a government meeting on August 10 to prepare for the 2026-2027 autumn-winter season. The Energy Ministry projected a 4.1 billion kilowatt-hour electricity deficit that will be covered by imports, while current water levels in the Toktogul reservoir are lower than the same period last year. All repair and fuel-supply work must be completed by October, officials said.
Winter Power Deficit
The Energy Ministry expects total electricity consumption in 2026 to reach 19.6 billion kWh, with 15.5 billion kWh generated domestically. The 4.1 billion kWh shortfall will be covered by imports. In 2025, actual consumption was 19.3 billion kWh, with imports of around 3.9 billion kWh, according to Cabinet data.
Toktogul Reservoir Levels
The Cabinet press service stated that the current volume of water in the Toktogul reservoir is below the level of the same period in 2025. Exact figures were not disclosed; since May 2025, such data has been classified as 'for official use,' 24.kg reported. A month ago, the energy minister said the volume stood at about 10.2 billion cubic meters, 700-750 million cubic meters less than in July last year. The government’s target is to accumulate 11.84 billion cubic meters by the end of September 2026. For reference, the water level on August 26, 2025, was 11.03 billion cubic meters.
Preparation Deadlines
The government ordered that all repair work on hydroelectric units and the thermal power plant be completed according to schedule. Fuel requirements for the winter include 45,500 tonnes of fuel oil and 3.4 million tonnes of coal, with deliveries already underway under tender agreements. The Cabinet stressed that preparations across all sectors must be finished by October, and called for strict adherence to internal electricity consumption limits and rational water use.
What's Next
The republican headquarters is expected to review progress on repairs and fuel accumulation at its next session. It remains unclear whether the Toktogul reservoir will reach the targeted 11.84 billion cubic meters by the heating season start, given the current shortfall.
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Kyrgyzstan projects 4.1 bln kWh winter deficit as Toktogul reservoir level trails 2025
