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Brent crude tops $80 on Iran supply risks as OPEC+ agrees September output hike

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Brent crude tops $80 on Iran supply risks as OPEC+ agrees September output hike

Oil prices rose above $80 a barrel on Wednesday, August 6, buoyed by Iran supply risks and Red Sea tanker attacks. OPEC+, including Kazakhstan and Saudi Arabia, agreed to increase production by 188,000 barrels per day starting in September. The rally held despite Saudi Arabia lowering its September official selling price for Asian crude.

Iran Supply Risks

The price surge was fueled by uncertainty over Iran-Oman negotiations and Houthi attacks on Saudi tankers in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, Reuters reported. Investors remain skeptical that any deal will quickly ease geopolitical tensions, as previous agreements proved short-lived. Iran also warned Gulf states of potential retaliation against energy infrastructure if the U.S. launches new strikes. These threats compounded supply disruption fears, pushing Brent crude to $80.28 a barrel.

OPEC+ Production Hike

Separately, OPEC+ agreed to increase total output by 188,000 barrels per day from September 2026, with seven members including Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, and Russia participating. The decision aims to stabilize the global oil market. However, Saudi Arabia simultaneously cut its September official selling price for Arab Light crude to Asian buyers, a move that added downward pressure but was overshadowed by geopolitical risks. Kazakhstan's role in the incremental increase signals its continued commitment to the alliance's supply management strategy.

What's Next

The OPEC+ increase is set to begin in September, but its impact may be limited if supply disruptions escalate. Analysts warn that ongoing geopolitical tensions could keep prices elevated even as more supply enters the market.

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Brent crude tops $80 on Iran supply risks as OPEC+ agrees September output hike