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Kazakhstan government debt reaches 38.5 trillion tenge as domestic borrowing surges

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Kazakhstan's government debt increased by 2 trillion tenge in the first half of 2026 to 38.5 trillion tenge as of July 1, according to Finance Ministry data. The growth was propelled entirely by a 2.33 trillion tenge rise in domestic debt, which offset a contraction in external obligations. The total state and state-guaranteed debt, including sureties, reached 40.9 trillion tenge.

Internal Borrowing Spike

The internal debt of Kazakhstan's government reached 28.47 trillion tenge on July 1, up from 26.14 trillion tenge at the start of 2026, a jump of 8.9%. This accounted for nearly all of the 2.1 trillion tenge increase in overall government debt (excluding mutual claims). The government's total debt, including state-guaranteed obligations and sureties, stood at 40.9 trillion tenge.

External Debt Reduction

External government debt fell by 3.9% to 8.35 trillion tenge from 8.7 trillion tenge at the beginning of the year. Eurobonds remained the largest component at 4.81 trillion tenge, down from 5.01 trillion tenge. The decline reflects a deliberate shift to domestic financing, the Finance Ministry indicated earlier.

Ministry Assesses Risks

In early June, the Finance Ministry stated that Kazakhstan's government debt remains at a manageable level and is not producing negative effects. The ministry's assessment emphasized that the debt structure, with a growing share of tenge-denominated obligations, mitigates currency risks. The statement did not address the rapid accumulation of domestic debt directly.

What's Next

The government is expected to continue issuing domestic bonds to finance the budget deficit, with the next auction likely in August. Whether the pace of accumulation will sustain or moderate remains uncertain amid fluctuating oil revenues and planned social spending.

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Kazakhstan government debt reaches 38.5 trillion tenge as domestic borrowing surges