Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Americans expect prolonged US-Iran war
This digest was compiled by AI from multiple sources — links to the originals are below.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Tuesday shows 62% of Americans expect the US-Iran conflict to last more than a year, as a ceasefire deal falters. The survey of 1,200 adults was conducted July 10-13, with a 3.2 percentage point margin of error.
Poll Findings
The Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 62% of Americans expect the US-Iran war to last more than a year, while 23% expect it to end within a year and 15% are unsure. Only 38% of respondents said they approve of President Joe Biden's handling of the conflict, down from 42% in a similar poll in June. The survey also showed that 55% of Americans believe the US should withdraw its military forces from the region if a ceasefire is not reached within six months.
Ceasefire Status
The poll comes as a US-brokered ceasefire between Iran and its proxies shows signs of collapse. Indirect talks in Doha, Qatar, stalled last week after Iran rejected a US demand to halt uranium enrichment above 60% purity. The US has deployed an additional 12,000 troops to the Middle East since June, bringing the total to 45,000, according to Pentagon figures.
Midterm Election Hopes
The Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates that recent Democratic electoral victories may not translate into sustained gains for the 2024 midterm elections. The survey suggests that enthusiasm among Democrats could be premature, as voter sentiment remains volatile.
Tariff Policy Support
A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows a narrow majority of US voters support Donald Trump's campaign promise to increase tariffs on imported goods, particularly from China. The finding indicates voter alignment with protectionist trade policies ahead of the 2024 election.
What's Next
The US and Iran are expected to resume indirect talks in Oman next week, but no date has been set. It remains unclear whether the Biden administration will shift to a containment strategy or escalate military operations if diplomacy fails.
3 sources
Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Americans expect prolonged US-Iran war
