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Kazakhstan Increases Exports to Europe, Deepens Reliance on China and Russia

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Kazakhstan Increases Exports to Europe, Deepens Reliance on China and Russia

Kazakhstan has boosted exports to France, Turkey, and the UK in early 2026. Despite this, the country is becoming more reliant on industrial imports from China and Russia. This trend was highlighted by economist Ruslan Sultanov.

Trade Dynamics

Kazakhstan's trade volume reached $21.7 billion in the first two months of 2026. The country has increased its exports to European markets, notably France, Turkey, and the UK. However, the share of exports to Italy and Russia has decreased, according to economist Ruslan Sultanov. Sultanov analyzed the external trade data, noting shifts in Kazakhstan's trade partners.

Dependence on China and Russia

Kazakhstan's reliance on industrial goods from China and Russia is growing. This dependency is highlighted by the increasing import volumes from these countries. Sultanov's analysis indicates a shift in Kazakhstan's economic ties, with China and Russia playing a larger role. The trend raises questions about Kazakhstan's economic diversification efforts.

EU Decarbonisation Impact

Kazakhstan's export potential is threatened by the European Union's decarbonisation laws. The EU Green Deal aims to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55%, which could significantly affect Kazakhstan's fossil fuel and mineral exports. This development poses a challenge to Kazakhstan's economic strategy, which heavily relies on these exports.

European Investment Surge

European companies are increasingly investing in Kazakhstan as an alternative to Russia, with the country attracting billions in foreign capital. The trend is driven by geopolitical shifts and Kazakhstan's strategic position in Central Asia.

What's Next

Kazakhstan's trade policies are likely to be scrutinized in upcoming economic forums. It remains uncertain how the country will balance its export growth with import dependencies.

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Kazakhstan Increases Exports to Europe, Deepens Reliance on China and Russia