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Kazakhstan's National Fund sees revenue drop amid Gulf conflict

Kazakhstan's National Fund sees revenue drop amid Gulf conflict

Kazakhstan's National Fund revenue fell sharply to $170 million in March. Economist Olzhas Baidildinov attributes the decline to the Gulf conflict and attacks on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium. Pension fund investments also suffered as global markets declined.

National Fund Revenue Decline

Kazakhstan's National Fund received approximately $170 million in March, a significant decrease compared to $1.7 billion in the first quarter of 2025. Economist Olzhas Baidildinov links this drop to the conflict in the Persian Gulf and Ukrainian attacks on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium. Following the attacks in November 2025, Kazakhstan's oil production suffered, with companies reducing output by nearly a third in early 2026.

Impact on Pension Funds

The investment income of Kazakhstan's Unified National Pension Fund (ENPF) has decreased due to global stock market declines. As a result, pension savings have diminished, leading ENPF to deny excess pension payouts to citizens at Otbasy Bank. The situation is exacerbated by rising aviation fuel costs and increased travel expenses, with tour operators charging an additional $60–80 per person.

What's Next

Kazakhstan's government is expected to review its pension fund management strategies. It remains uncertain how long the economic impact of the Gulf conflict will persist.

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Kazakhstan's National Fund sees revenue drop amid Gulf conflict